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和讯信息何兵：危险没有解除

2026-09-15 13:08:06来源：和讯财经  


(资料图)

风险并未解除。今日创业板与科创板出现止跌，上证指数也表现出较强抵抗，但微盘股指数今日形成双阴夹阳并再创新低。若微盘股下午继续下杀，其下降趋势将正式确立；而上证指数虽在3850点附近存在抵抗，若微盘股持续走弱，上证指数也可能跟随下行。

科技股近期承担了护盘角色，部分资金试图拿先手，博弈周四加息落地。但今日微盘股下跌使盘面更加复杂：此前是双创偏弱、微盘偏强，如今微盘转弱，市场缺乏合力，各指数之间相互拉扯。科技股本身需要量能配合，但今日再创地量，成交额可能跌破1.6万亿，各大指数亦跌破5日均线，整体呈现阴跌格局，过程中每日均有板块出现快速杀跌。前日与今日是微盘股，昨日则轮到双创相对偏弱。

方向上，今日高位抱团出现明显瓦解，部分前期强势方向出现极端走势，带动相关板块批量跌停，进而拖累微盘股进一步下行。科技股虽仍有护盘资金，但在缺乏量能的情况下同样冲高回落。创业板指近期反复出现反抽5日均线后冲高回落的走势，属于典型的阴跌形态。此前尚可参与的抱团方向，今日也出现集体退潮。

整体来看，当前短线操作空间有限，宜以休息和观望为主，等待指数企稳信号。多板指数与成交量板块均未出现明确转强迹象，弱势反抽特征明显。在指数企稳之前，短线机会有限，保持谨慎为宜。

责任编辑：hnmd003

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